Election Strategy or Development

After months of adverse results in the bye-elections of Alwar, Ajmer, Gorakhpur, Phulpur, Araria and Bhandara, the Prime Minister kept the silent silence for months. They saw the opposition united and saw that their unity gave an election dividend. But now Narendra Modi has chosen to take charge himself. He has tried to explain that development is going to be the BJP's election mantra in 2019.
This was the virtual start of BJP's election campaign in Rajasthan when the Prime Minister interacted with six Center sponsored schemes and 2.5 lakh beneficiaries of five major schemes of the state. These include Ujjwala, Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana, Mudra Yojana, Pratisthal Health Insurance Scheme and Saharan, which are expected to start soon. Jaipur's program emphasized that Modi is going to be a war-cry in the first phase of the 'Development' 2019 election. They are talking of inclusion like 2014 and want to reach everyone. Therefore, the authorities have been instructed to complete the timed target.


The announcement of the increase in minimum support price for the farmers is also indicative of the fact that the government is increasing towards improving the farmers' crisis, although this will increase food prices and increase the resentment among the poor. But it is possible that the government can resort to direct benefit transfer in their account to give relief to the poor. It is being said that this is the initiation stage of Namo tactics. Issues like farmers' resentment, the anger of Dalits, issues like the now-ending alliance with PDP in Jammu and Kashmir, came in the BJP and Sangh's meeting organized for consideration of the strategy of 2019 in Surajkund.

Despite dissatisfaction with his government, the Prime Minister is clearly betting on the spirit that is still present. Many people still say that as far as Modi is concerned, 'mistakes are made, but their intention is fine'. In this sequence, they mention the destructive effects of the ban on the informal sector and the GST applied in a hurry, which grabbed the small-scale area in bondage. But then they say, 'Who do not make mistakes.' The summary of his comment is that 'we can give them some more time, at least they want to change things.' Specially when no face is seen in the opposition Emphasis on development, delivery of programs, announcement of new plans - is an attempt to redeem this spirit. That is why the government initiated the campaign in the form of 'Clean, Neutral Development' in its fourth-anniversary celebration.

The Prime Minister's last address from the ramparts of the Red Fort on Independence Day will undoubtedly portray his strategy, which he plans to pursue in nine months of his tenure. He can also make a big event on the occasion of Gandhi Jayanti. Needless to say, whatever initiative the first agenda will set, it will be beneficial in 2019. Apart from targeting Modi, the opposition has not highlighted its issues so far.

But the fight between Modi and the rest is such that the BJP will welcome because in it Modi has the ability to polarize in favour. Modi has already started targeting the opposition, who is Modi vs.? Many people believe that in the coming months, if the Supreme Court makes a favourable decision regarding the construction of the temple in Ayodhya, then it may be the second rabbit, which Prime Minister can expect from his hat. It is still to be seen whether the Supreme Court decides by the end of this year or not. The Vishwa Hindu Parishad has already threatened that if the court does not give its verdict, then he will approach saints and MPs. It is a strange thing whether people will be attracted to the temple as it was in the past. If the Muslim community does not accept the verdict and goes on the streets in protest, then it can polarize on the Hindu-Muslim lines like in the past.


Yet the BJP has to be careful about its original voters. It is believed that it has been studied to ascertain what issues are being raised to the right-wing supporters, it was found that in addition to the issue of giving concession to the minority educational institutions in addition to the temple and the concession of the temples operated by trusts Demands are included. Some believe that in the future Modi will get the real challenge from his right-wing supporters.

 The increase in high-nationalism can be seen in the third phase of the 2019 campaign. It will be like a poke in some way. Or Kashmir issue, in which the response of Hindus will be on the demand of freedom. It is interesting that with the help of the PDP rebels and some small parties, the government is going to revive the government in Jammu and Kashmir, but the BJP has emphasized that the Chief Minister should be the BJP. Governing the Muslim-dominated state will be like a chagrin in the hat of the party, but considering the growing segregation in the valley, it will be opposed by those people in the valley, and this opposition will naturally cause a reaction in Jammu and the rest of the Hindus of the country. Amit Shah has already said that the party will use the Kashmir card throughout the country.

Although the end of next year's big battle will be focused on the versus Modi versus the United Opposition, but not in the sense that the opposition wants. Even if Modi's popularity remains intact (31 percent in 2014) and if he increased it by a few percents, seeing that on the other side no one is going to give him a hit, even then the remaining 69 percent of the voters It will be difficult for them, especially in Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Maharashtra, Jharkhand and Karnataka, where this difference can arise. The chanting of 'development' can help the BJP in creating an environment suitable for setting up an agenda for Modi. But Amit Shah's effective strategy can be that the opposition is not united in any way.

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